Will the **high temp in Miami** be >97° on Jul 30, 2026?
DAILY HIGHKalshi · KXHIGHMIA-26JUL30 · resolves to KMIA (Miami Intl) climate report · closes 12:59 AM ET · 2h 47m left
OM high
95.2° ±1.5
Market implied
96.3°
Gap
-1.1°
Expected peak
2:26 PM 1:13 PM–3:39 PM
24h volume
$0
EDGE FROM OM
Buy NO · 96–97° @ 1¢
FAIR
64¢
EV
+6300%
KELLY ¼
16.0%
Edge is +63¢ on a — spread (— liquidity).
Model output, not financial advice.
SIMULATEDThe SONDE-unit profile below is generated, not measured — this deployment operates no balloon fleet. The observation, the model consensus and the market ladder are live. How the forecast is built →
Bucket ladder — price vs. Open-Meteo fair
Market priceOM probability
BUCKET
MARKET
OM
EDGE
24H VOL
≤89°
1¢
0%
-1¢
$0
90–91°
1¢
1%
0¢
$0
92–93°
1¢
12%
+11¢
$0
94–95°
1¢
45%
+44¢
$0
96–97° ★
99¢
36%
-63¢
$0
≥98°
1¢
6%
+5¢
$0
Market-implied high 96.3° vs Open-Meteo 95.2° ±1.5. Open-Meteo is the selected edge lens. Sonde's proprietary adjustment remains in the Demo tab until real profiles are connected.
Forecast graph · hour by hour
SondeOpen-MeteoECMWFGFSICONObservedMkt implied
HOUR
6a
7
8
9
10
11
12p
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Observed
80.7
80.1
82.1
84.6
86.0
88.3
90.9
92.4
95.2
95.0
95.1
93.8
93.6
91.8
91.6
87.0
Sonde
80.3
79.7
81.7
84.2
85.6
87.9
90.5
92.0
94.8
94.6
94.7
93.4
93.2
91.4
91.2
86.6
Open-Meteo
80.7
80.1
82.1
84.6
86.0
88.3
90.9
92.4
95.2
95.0
95.1
93.8
93.6
91.8
91.6
87.0
ECMWF
80.5
81.1
82.2
84.5
87.3
89.9
92.0
93.8
95.0
95.3
94.9
94.0
92.7
90.8
89.0
87.4
GFS
80.7
80.1
82.1
84.6
86.0
88.3
90.9
92.4
95.2
95.0
95.1
93.8
93.6
91.8
91.6
87.0
ICON
78.2
78.1
79.9
83.0
86.3
88.7
91.3
94.1
95.7
96.4
96.1
95.4
94.1
92.0
89.3
86.4
KMIA · Miami Intl
OBS 10:00 PM84.4°F↓ -3.6/h
SURFACE · STATION
Feels like91°F
Dew point72°F
Humidity66%
WindWSW 6 mph
SkyOvercast
Pressure30.02 ↑
Today's range79.9–95.2°
FeedOpen-Meteo current
SONDE-4 · mobile balloon unit
PROFILE 10:06 PM85.5°F+1.1° vs station
2.5 mi NW of KMIA · launched 10:06 PM · hourly cycle · next 11:06 PM
SURFACE · LAUNCH SITE
Feels like92°F
Dew point71°F
Humidity63%
WindWSW 7 mph
SkyOvercast
Pressure30.00
Today's range81.0–96.3°
Feed2-s telemetry
ALOFT · PROFILE
925 mb temp22.7°C
Mixed layer0.1 km
Lapse 0–1 km9.3°C/km
RH aloft66%
Boundary layer is mixing 0.1 km deep — the profile contributes -0.7° to the forecast. It is 14.2 h fresher than the last operational radiosonde.
Simulated telemetry — generated from live surface data, not measured.
Forecast board — today's high
ICON96.4°18Z run · 8h old+1.2°
Market96.3°live · implied from ladder+1.1°
ECMWF95.3°18Z run · 8h old+0.1°
GFS95.2°18Z run · 8h old0.0°
Open-Meteo95.2°fetched 10:11 PM—
Sonde94.8°5m ago · hourly balloons-0.4°
Microstructure
24h volume$0
Open interest$663K
Spread (best bucket)—
Liquidity grade—
Best bucket volume$0
Ladder rungs6
KMIA track record · 31d
Full research →Sonde
1.37°
Market
1.45°
Open-Meteo
1.57°
Last 10 vs market:WL——WL—L——
Simulated forecast history
Snapshot 0m old · this market as JSON →