{
  "as_of": "2026-07-31T03:15:54.544Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUL30",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be >97° on Jul 30, 2026?",
    "station": "KMIA",
    "station_city": "Miami",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-31T04:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighmia",
    "obs": {
      "temp_f": 82.6,
      "at": "2026-07-31T03:15:00.000Z",
      "trend_f_hr": -1.9,
      "source": "open-meteo"
    },
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 94.8,
      "sigma_f": 1.3,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-31T03:06:00.000Z",
      "peak_local": "2:26 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 95.5,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": -0.66
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 95.2,
      "ecmwf": 95.3,
      "gfs": 95.2,
      "icon": 96.4
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 95.2,
      "sigma_f": 1.6
    },
    "market_implied_f": 96.3,
    "gap_f": -1.1,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "96–97°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 1,
      "fair_c": 65,
      "edge_c": 64,
      "ev_pct": 6400,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 16.2
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 644390,
    "spread_c": null,
    "liquidity_grade": "—",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 600,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤89°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 89,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0002,
        "selected_fair_c": 0,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 169132
      },
      {
        "bucket": "90–91°",
        "low_f": 90,
        "high_f": 91,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0102,
        "selected_fair_c": 1,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0055,
        "fair_c": 1,
        "edge_c": 0,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 92836
      },
      {
        "bucket": "92–93°",
        "low_f": 92,
        "high_f": 93,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1336,
        "selected_fair_c": 13,
        "selected_edge_c": 12,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1531,
        "fair_c": 15,
        "edge_c": 14,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 145959
      },
      {
        "bucket": "94–95°",
        "low_f": 94,
        "high_f": 95,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.4304,
        "selected_fair_c": 43,
        "selected_edge_c": 42,
        "sonde_prob": 0.5462,
        "fair_c": 55,
        "edge_c": 54,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 188719
      },
      {
        "bucket": "96–97°",
        "low_f": 96,
        "high_f": 97,
        "price_c": 99,
        "bid_c": 99,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.3503,
        "selected_fair_c": 35,
        "selected_edge_c": -64,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2762,
        "fair_c": 28,
        "edge_c": -71,
        "market_prob": 0.9519,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 18807
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥98°",
        "low_f": 98,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0753,
        "selected_fair_c": 8,
        "selected_edge_c": 7,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0189,
        "fair_c": 2,
        "edge_c": 1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 28937
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 81.6,
        "1": 80.3,
        "2": 80.2,
        "3": 79.9,
        "4": 79.5,
        "5": 79.5,
        "6": 80.3,
        "7": 79.7,
        "8": 81.7,
        "9": 84.2,
        "10": 85.6,
        "11": 87.9,
        "12": 90.5,
        "13": 92,
        "14": 94.8,
        "15": 94.6,
        "16": 94.7,
        "17": 93.4,
        "18": 93.2,
        "19": 91.4,
        "20": 91.2,
        "21": 86.5,
        "22": 84.6,
        "23": 82.7
      },
      "observed": {
        "0": 82,
        "1": 80.7,
        "2": 80.6,
        "3": 80.3,
        "4": 79.9,
        "5": 79.9,
        "6": 80.7,
        "7": 80.1,
        "8": 82.1,
        "9": 84.6,
        "10": 86,
        "11": 88.3,
        "12": 90.9,
        "13": 92.4,
        "14": 95.2,
        "15": 95,
        "16": 95.1,
        "17": 93.8,
        "18": 93.6,
        "19": 91.8,
        "20": 91.6,
        "21": 86.9,
        "22": 85,
        "23": 83.1
      },
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 82,
        "1": 80.7,
        "2": 80.6,
        "3": 80.3,
        "4": 79.9,
        "5": 79.9,
        "6": 80.7,
        "7": 80.1,
        "8": 82.1,
        "9": 84.6,
        "10": 86,
        "11": 88.3,
        "12": 90.9,
        "13": 92.4,
        "14": 95.2,
        "15": 95,
        "16": 95.1,
        "17": 93.8,
        "18": 93.6,
        "19": 91.8,
        "20": 91.6,
        "21": 86.9,
        "22": 85,
        "23": 83.1
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-4",
      "station": "KMIA",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-31T03:06:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-31T04:06:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 4.2,
      "bearing": "SE",
      "profile_age_min": 10,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 82.9,
        "feels_like_f": 90,
        "dewpoint_f": 72,
        "humidity_pct": 68,
        "wind_mph": 8,
        "wind_dir": "W",
        "sky": "Partly cloudy",
        "pressure_inhg": 30.02,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "80.2–95.5°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": 0.3,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 21.1,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 9.5,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 71
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 0.8,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.9
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 15.3,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}