Will the **high temp in Miami** be >97° on Jul 29, 2026?
DAILY HIGHKalshi · KXHIGHMIA-26JUL29 · resolves to KMIA (Miami Intl) climate report · closes 12:59 AM ET · 4h 15m left
OM high
92.6° ±1.9
Market implied
94.4°
Gap
-1.8°
Expected peak
4:18 PM 2:54 PM–5:42 PM
24h volume
$0
EDGE FROM OM
Buy NO · 94–95° @ 1¢
FAIR
75¢
EV
+7400%
KELLY ¼
18.6%
Edge is +74¢ on a — spread (— liquidity).
Model output, not financial advice.
SIMULATEDThe SONDE-unit profile below is generated, not measured — this deployment operates no balloon fleet. The observation, the model consensus and the market ladder are live. How the forecast is built →
Bucket ladder — price vs. Open-Meteo fair
Market priceOM probability
BUCKET
MARKET
OM
EDGE
24H VOL
≤89°
1¢
5%
+4¢
$0
90–91°
1¢
23%
+22¢
$0
92–93°
1¢
40%
+39¢
$0
94–95° ★
99¢
25%
-74¢
$0
96–97°
1¢
6%
+5¢
$0
≥98°
1¢
0%
-1¢
$0
Market-implied high 94.4° vs Open-Meteo 92.6° ±1.9. Open-Meteo is the selected edge lens. Sonde's proprietary adjustment remains in the Demo tab until real profiles are connected.
Forecast graph · hour by hour
SondeOpen-MeteoECMWFGFSICONObservedMkt implied
HOUR
6a
7
8
9
10
11
12p
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Observed
79.0
78.9
80.9
83.0
84.9
87.0
88.8
91.1
90.8
90.2
92.6
92.0
90.5
88.4
85.2
82.9
Sonde
78.4
78.3
80.3
82.4
84.3
86.4
88.2
90.5
90.2
89.6
92.0
91.4
89.9
87.8
84.6
82.3
Open-Meteo
79.0
78.9
80.9
83.0
84.9
87.0
88.8
91.1
90.8
90.2
92.6
92.0
90.5
88.4
85.2
82.9
ECMWF
79.7
80.4
81.5
83.4
85.8
87.8
89.4
90.8
90.8
88.4
84.9
82.5
82.6
83.8
84.5
83.8
GFS
79.0
78.9
80.9
83.0
84.9
87.0
88.8
91.1
90.8
90.2
92.6
92.0
90.5
88.4
85.2
82.9
ICON
77.0
77.0
79.5
83.2
87.0
89.6
92.3
94.6
94.5
95.0
94.1
93.2
91.5
89.6
87.4
85.2
KMIA · Miami Intl
OBS 8:30 PM83.9°F↓ -2.6/h
SURFACE · STATION
Feels like90°F
Dew point72°F
Humidity67%
WindSW 7 mph
SkyClear
Pressure29.93 ↑
Today's range78.9–92.6°
FeedOpen-Meteo current
SONDE-4 · mobile balloon unit
PROFILE 8:06 PM83.9°F0.0° vs station
3.8 mi SW of KMIA · launched 8:06 PM · hourly cycle · next 9:06 PM
SURFACE · LAUNCH SITE
Feels like90°F
Dew point71°F
Humidity68%
WindSW 10 mph
SkyClear
Pressure29.91
Today's range78.9–92.6°
Feed2-s telemetry
ALOFT · PROFILE
925 mb temp21.7°C
Mixed layer0.1 km
Lapse 0–1 km9.4°C/km
RH aloft67%
Boundary layer is mixing 0.1 km deep — the profile contributes -0.7° to the forecast. It is 12.7 h fresher than the last operational radiosonde.
Simulated telemetry — generated from live surface data, not measured.
Forecast board — today's high
ICON95.0°18Z run · 7h old+2.4°
Market94.4°live · implied from ladder+1.8°
GFS92.6°18Z run · 7h old0.0°
Open-Meteo92.6°fetched 8:42 PM—
Sonde92.0°37m ago · hourly balloons-0.6°
ECMWF90.8°12Z run · 13h old-1.8°
Microstructure
24h volume$0
Open interest$839K
Spread (best bucket)—
Liquidity grade—
Best bucket volume$0
Ladder rungs6
KMIA track record · 31d
Full research →Sonde
1.35°
Market
1.41°
Open-Meteo
1.62°
Last 10 vs market:L——WL—L——L
Simulated forecast history
Snapshot 0m old · this market as JSON →