{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T02:07:56.678Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUL29",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be >97° on Jul 29, 2026?",
    "station": "KMIA",
    "station_city": "Miami",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-30T04:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighmia",
    "obs": {
      "temp_f": 81.8,
      "at": "2026-07-30T02:00:00.000Z",
      "trend_f_hr": -2.6,
      "source": "open-meteo"
    },
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 91.9,
      "sigma_f": 1.7,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T02:06:00.000Z",
      "peak_local": "4:18 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 92.6,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": -0.79
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 92.6,
      "ecmwf": 90.4,
      "gfs": 92.6,
      "icon": 95
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 92.6,
      "sigma_f": 2
    },
    "market_implied_f": 94.4,
    "gap_f": -1.8,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "94–95°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 1,
      "fair_c": 75,
      "edge_c": 74,
      "ev_pct": 7400,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 18.6
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 832548,
    "spread_c": null,
    "liquidity_grade": "—",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 120,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤89°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 89,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0606,
        "selected_fair_c": 6,
        "selected_edge_c": 5,
        "sonde_prob": 0.079,
        "fair_c": 8,
        "edge_c": 7,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 217702
      },
      {
        "bucket": "90–91°",
        "low_f": 90,
        "high_f": 91,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2306,
        "selected_fair_c": 23,
        "selected_edge_c": 22,
        "sonde_prob": 0.328,
        "fair_c": 33,
        "edge_c": 32,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 232531
      },
      {
        "bucket": "92–93°",
        "low_f": 92,
        "high_f": 93,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.3825,
        "selected_fair_c": 38,
        "selected_edge_c": 37,
        "sonde_prob": 0.4197,
        "fair_c": 42,
        "edge_c": 41,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 290871
      },
      {
        "bucket": "94–95°",
        "low_f": 94,
        "high_f": 95,
        "price_c": 99,
        "bid_c": 99,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2528,
        "selected_fair_c": 25,
        "selected_edge_c": -74,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1562,
        "fair_c": 16,
        "edge_c": -83,
        "market_prob": 0.9519,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 36035
      },
      {
        "bucket": "96–97°",
        "low_f": 96,
        "high_f": 97,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0664,
        "selected_fair_c": 7,
        "selected_edge_c": 6,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0166,
        "fair_c": 2,
        "edge_c": 1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 21741
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥98°",
        "low_f": 98,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0071,
        "selected_fair_c": 1,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0005,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 33668
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 80.3,
        "1": 79.4,
        "2": 79.2,
        "3": 79.5,
        "4": 78.7,
        "5": 78.4,
        "6": 78.3,
        "7": 78.2,
        "8": 80.2,
        "9": 82.3,
        "10": 84.2,
        "11": 86.3,
        "12": 88.1,
        "13": 90.4,
        "14": 90.1,
        "15": 89.5,
        "16": 91.9,
        "17": 91.3,
        "18": 89.8,
        "19": 87.7,
        "20": 86.2,
        "21": 82.9,
        "22": 81.1,
        "23": 80.5
      },
      "observed": {
        "0": 81,
        "1": 80.1,
        "2": 79.9,
        "3": 80.2,
        "4": 79.4,
        "5": 79.1,
        "6": 79,
        "7": 78.9,
        "8": 80.9,
        "9": 83,
        "10": 84.9,
        "11": 87,
        "12": 88.8,
        "13": 91.1,
        "14": 90.8,
        "15": 90.2,
        "16": 92.6,
        "17": 92,
        "18": 90.5,
        "19": 88.4,
        "20": 86.9,
        "21": 83.6,
        "22": 81.8,
        "23": 81.2
      },
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 81,
        "1": 80.1,
        "2": 79.9,
        "3": 80.2,
        "4": 79.4,
        "5": 79.1,
        "6": 79,
        "7": 78.9,
        "8": 80.9,
        "9": 83,
        "10": 84.9,
        "11": 87,
        "12": 88.8,
        "13": 91.1,
        "14": 90.8,
        "15": 90.2,
        "16": 92.6,
        "17": 92,
        "18": 90.5,
        "19": 88.4,
        "20": 86.9,
        "21": 83.6,
        "22": 81.8,
        "23": 81.2
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-4",
      "station": "KMIA",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T02:06:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T03:06:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 2.2,
      "bearing": "SE",
      "profile_age_min": 2,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 81.7,
        "feels_like_f": 88,
        "dewpoint_f": 72,
        "humidity_pct": 71,
        "wind_mph": 7,
        "wind_dir": "WSW",
        "sky": "Clear",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.91,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "78.8–92.5°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": -0.1,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 20.9,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 8.9,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 73
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 1.3,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.9
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 14.1,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}