Will the **high temp in Denver** be >96° on Jul 30, 2026?
DAILY HIGHKalshi · KXHIGHDEN-26JUL30 · resolves to KDEN (Denver Intl) climate report · closes 12:59 AM MT · 4h 47m left
OM high
92.9° ±1.5
Market implied
95.3°
Gap
-2.4°
Expected peak
2:17 PM 1:04 PM–3:30 PM
24h volume
$0
EDGE FROM OM
Buy NO · 95–96° @ 1¢
FAIR
87¢
EV
+8600%
KELLY ¼
21.6%
Edge is +86¢ on a — spread (— liquidity).
Model output, not financial advice.
SIMULATEDThe SONDE-unit profile below is generated, not measured — this deployment operates no balloon fleet. The observation, the model consensus and the market ladder are live. How the forecast is built →
Bucket ladder — price vs. Open-Meteo fair
Market priceOM probability
BUCKET
MARKET
OM
EDGE
24H VOL
≤88°
1¢
0%
-1¢
$0
89–90°
1¢
5%
+4¢
$0
91–92°
1¢
34%
+33¢
$0
93–94°
1¢
46%
+45¢
$0
95–96° ★
99¢
13%
-86¢
$0
≥97°
1¢
1%
0¢
$0
Market-implied high 95.3° vs Open-Meteo 92.9° ±1.5. Open-Meteo is the selected edge lens. Sonde's proprietary adjustment remains in the Demo tab until real profiles are connected.
Forecast graph · hour by hour
SondeOpen-MeteoECMWFGFSICONObservedMkt implied
HOUR
6a
7
8
9
10
11
12p
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Observed
65.7
67.9
72.4
76.1
82.8
87.1
90.0
90.3
92.9
92.2
92.6
82.8
86.5
88.5
85.2
81.5
Sonde
65.6
67.8
72.3
76.0
82.7
87.0
89.9
90.2
92.8
92.1
92.5
82.7
86.4
88.4
85.1
81.4
Open-Meteo
65.7
67.9
72.4
76.1
82.8
87.1
90.0
90.3
92.9
92.2
92.6
82.8
86.5
88.5
85.2
81.5
ECMWF
66.0
68.9
73.4
77.9
82.5
87.2
90.9
93.1
94.2
94.6
94.2
93.1
91.4
89.1
86.2
83.4
GFS
65.7
67.9
72.4
76.1
82.8
87.1
90.0
90.3
92.9
92.2
92.6
82.8
86.5
88.5
85.2
81.5
ICON
65.6
65.7
70.2
74.8
79.5
83.4
89.7
91.6
92.8
93.1
93.8
93.1
91.8
90.7
87.0
83.3
KDEN · Denver Intl
OBS 8:00 PM85.2°F↓ -0.6/h
SURFACE · STATION
Feels like81°F
Dew point43°F
Humidity23%
WindWSW 5 mph
SkyOvercast
Pressure24.74
Today's range65.7–92.9°
FeedOpen-Meteo current
SONDE-6 · mobile balloon unit
PROFILE 7:43 PM86.0°F+0.8° vs station
3 mi NW of KDEN · launched 7:43 PM · hourly cycle · next 8:43 PM
SURFACE · LAUNCH SITE
Feels like82°F
Dew point42°F
Humidity23%
WindWSW 7 mph
SkyOvercast
Pressure24.72
Today's range66.5–93.7°
Feed2-s telemetry
ALOFT · PROFILE
925 mb temp29.5°C
Mixed layer0.1 km
Lapse 0–1 km9.6°C/km
RH aloft23%
Boundary layer is mixing 0.1 km deep — the profile contributes -0.6° to the forecast. It is 14.2 h fresher than the last operational radiosonde.
Simulated telemetry — generated from live surface data, not measured.
Forecast board — today's high
Market95.3°live · implied from ladder+2.4°
ECMWF94.6°18Z run · 8h old+1.7°
ICON93.8°18Z run · 8h old+0.9°
GFS92.9°18Z run · 8h old0.0°
Open-Meteo92.9°fetched 8:11 PM—
Sonde92.8°29m ago · hourly balloons-0.1°
Microstructure
24h volume$0
Open interest$225K
Spread (best bucket)—
Liquidity grade—
Best bucket volume$0
Ladder rungs6
KDEN track record · 31d
Full research →Sonde
1.33°
Market
1.23°
Open-Meteo
1.77°
Last 10 vs market:—WWW—W—LLL
Simulated forecast history
Snapshot 0m old · this market as JSON →