{
  "as_of": "2026-07-31T03:16:55.446Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHDEN-26JUL30",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be >96° on Jul 30, 2026?",
    "station": "KDEN",
    "station_city": "Denver",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-31T06:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighden",
    "obs": {
      "temp_f": 78.7,
      "at": "2026-07-31T03:15:00.000Z",
      "trend_f_hr": -2.9,
      "source": "open-meteo"
    },
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 92.5,
      "sigma_f": 1.3,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-31T02:43:00.000Z",
      "peak_local": "2:17 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 93.4,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": -0.92
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 92.9,
      "ecmwf": 94.6,
      "gfs": 92.9,
      "icon": 93.8
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 92.9,
      "sigma_f": 1.6
    },
    "market_implied_f": 95.3,
    "gap_f": -2.4,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "95–96°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 1,
      "fair_c": 85,
      "edge_c": 84,
      "ev_pct": 8400,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 21.3
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 221470,
    "spread_c": null,
    "liquidity_grade": "—",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 2040,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤88°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 88,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.003,
        "selected_fair_c": 0,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0.001,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 54947
      },
      {
        "bucket": "89–90°",
        "low_f": 89,
        "high_f": 90,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0638,
        "selected_fair_c": 6,
        "selected_edge_c": 5,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0609,
        "fair_c": 6,
        "edge_c": 5,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 68148
      },
      {
        "bucket": "91–92°",
        "low_f": 91,
        "high_f": 92,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.3345,
        "selected_fair_c": 33,
        "selected_edge_c": 32,
        "sonde_prob": 0.438,
        "fair_c": 44,
        "edge_c": 43,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 54792
      },
      {
        "bucket": "93–94°",
        "low_f": 93,
        "high_f": 94,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.4401,
        "selected_fair_c": 44,
        "selected_edge_c": 43,
        "sonde_prob": 0.438,
        "fair_c": 44,
        "edge_c": 43,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 40048
      },
      {
        "bucket": "95–96°",
        "low_f": 95,
        "high_f": 96,
        "price_c": 99,
        "bid_c": 99,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1464,
        "selected_fair_c": 15,
        "selected_edge_c": -84,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0609,
        "fair_c": 6,
        "edge_c": -93,
        "market_prob": 0.9519,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 1320
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥97°",
        "low_f": 97,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0122,
        "selected_fair_c": 1,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0.001,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2215
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 68.8,
        "1": 68.7,
        "2": 68.5,
        "3": 67.7,
        "4": 68,
        "5": 66.4,
        "6": 65.3,
        "7": 67.5,
        "8": 72,
        "9": 75.7,
        "10": 82.4,
        "11": 86.7,
        "12": 89.6,
        "13": 89.9,
        "14": 92.5,
        "15": 91.8,
        "16": 92.2,
        "17": 82.4,
        "18": 86.1,
        "19": 84.9,
        "20": 83.1,
        "21": 79.1,
        "22": 78.9,
        "23": 77
      },
      "observed": {
        "0": 69.2,
        "1": 69.1,
        "2": 68.9,
        "3": 68.1,
        "4": 68.4,
        "5": 66.8,
        "6": 65.7,
        "7": 67.9,
        "8": 72.4,
        "9": 76.1,
        "10": 82.8,
        "11": 87.1,
        "12": 90,
        "13": 90.3,
        "14": 92.9,
        "15": 92.2,
        "16": 92.6,
        "17": 82.8,
        "18": 86.5,
        "19": 85.3,
        "20": 83.5,
        "21": 79.5,
        "22": 79.3,
        "23": 77.4
      },
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 69.2,
        "1": 69.1,
        "2": 68.9,
        "3": 68.1,
        "4": 68.4,
        "5": 66.8,
        "6": 65.7,
        "7": 67.9,
        "8": 72.4,
        "9": 76.1,
        "10": 82.8,
        "11": 87.1,
        "12": 90,
        "13": 90.3,
        "14": 92.9,
        "15": 92.2,
        "16": 92.6,
        "17": 82.8,
        "18": 86.5,
        "19": 85.3,
        "20": 83.5,
        "21": 79.5,
        "22": 79.3,
        "23": 77.4
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-6",
      "station": "KDEN",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-31T02:43:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-31T03:43:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 2.1,
      "bearing": "SW",
      "profile_age_min": 34,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 78.7,
        "feels_like_f": 75,
        "dewpoint_f": 46,
        "humidity_pct": 29,
        "wind_mph": 6,
        "wind_dir": "SSW",
        "sky": "Mainly clear",
        "pressure_inhg": 24.73,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "65.7–92.9°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": 0,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 25.5,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 8.3,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 31
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 1.3,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.5
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 15.3,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}