Will the **high temp in Denver** be >93° on Jul 29, 2026?
DAILY HIGHKalshi · KXHIGHDEN-26JUL29 · resolves to KDEN (Denver Intl) climate report · closes 12:59 AM MT · 6h 14m left
OM high
91.1° ±2.3
Market implied
90.4°
Gap
+0.7°
Expected peak
1:42 PM 12:04 PM–3:21 PM
24h volume
$0
EDGE FROM OM
Buy NO · 90–91° @ 1¢
FAIR
67¢
EV
+6600%
KELLY ¼
16.8%
Edge is +66¢ on a — spread (— liquidity).
Model output, not financial advice.
SIMULATEDThe SONDE-unit profile below is generated, not measured — this deployment operates no balloon fleet. The observation, the model consensus and the market ladder are live. How the forecast is built →
Bucket ladder — price vs. Open-Meteo fair
Market priceOM probability
BUCKET
MARKET
OM
EDGE
24H VOL
≤85°
1¢
1%
0¢
$0
86–87°
1¢
5%
+4¢
$0
88–89°
1¢
18%
+17¢
$0
90–91° ★
99¢
33%
-66¢
$0
92–93°
1¢
28%
+27¢
$0
≥94°
1¢
15%
+14¢
$0
Market-implied high 90.4° vs Open-Meteo 91.1° ±2.3. Open-Meteo is the selected edge lens. Sonde's proprietary adjustment remains in the Demo tab until real profiles are connected.
Forecast graph · hour by hour
SondeOpen-MeteoECMWFGFSICONObservedMkt implied
HOUR
6a
7
8
9
10
11
12p
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Observed
66.1
68.5
73.8
78.3
80.9
84.3
86.5
89.4
91.1
84.4
76.5
70.7
71.1
69.7
69.0
68.1
Sonde
64.7
67.1
72.4
76.9
79.5
82.9
85.1
88.0
89.7
83.0
75.1
69.3
69.7
68.3
67.6
66.7
Open-Meteo
66.1
68.5
73.8
78.3
80.9
84.3
86.5
89.4
91.1
84.4
76.5
70.7
71.1
69.7
69.0
68.1
ECMWF
67.2
69.3
72.5
75.9
80.2
84.9
87.0
84.4
79.4
76.1
77.1
79.8
81.2
79.2
75.9
73.3
GFS
66.1
68.5
73.8
78.3
80.9
84.3
86.5
89.4
91.1
84.4
76.5
70.7
71.1
69.7
69.0
68.1
ICON
65.7
66.3
69.3
73.7
78.3
82.3
86.5
89.1
91.1
92.3
92.8
92.0
81.3
70.2
69.6
69.3
KDEN · Denver Intl
OBS 6:30 PM70.5°F↓ -2.4/h
SURFACE · STATION
Feels like70°F
Dew point64°F
Humidity81%
WindSE 13 mph
SkyOvercast
Pressure24.68 ↓
Today's range66.1–91.1°
FeedOpen-Meteo current
SONDE-6 · mobile balloon unit
PROFILE 6:43 PM71.1°F+0.6° vs station
4.1 mi SW of KDEN · launched 6:43 PM · hourly cycle · next 7:43 PM
SURFACE · LAUNCH SITE
Feels like71°F
Dew point64°F
Humidity82%
WindSE 15 mph
SkyOvercast
Pressure24.66
Today's range66.7–91.7°
Feed2-s telemetry
ALOFT · PROFILE
925 mb temp21.3°C
Mixed layer0.1 km
Lapse 0–1 km8.3°C/km
RH aloft81%
Boundary layer is mixing 0.1 km deep — the profile contributes -0.9° to the forecast. It is 12.7 h fresher than the last operational radiosonde.
Simulated telemetry — generated from live surface data, not measured.
Forecast board — today's high
ICON92.8°18Z run · 7h old+1.7°
GFS91.1°18Z run · 7h old0.0°
Open-Meteo91.1°fetched 6:42 PM—
Market90.4°live · implied from ladder-0.7°
Sonde89.7°1m ago · hourly balloons-1.4°
ECMWF87.0°12Z run · 13h old-4.1°
Microstructure
24h volume$0
Open interest$186K
Spread (best bucket)—
Liquidity grade—
Best bucket volume$0
Ladder rungs6
KDEN track record · 31d
Full research →Sonde
1.32°
Market
1.27°
Open-Meteo
1.83°
Last 10 vs market:WWW—W—LLL—
Simulated forecast history
Snapshot 0m old · this market as JSON →