{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T02:05:23.902Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHDEN-26JUL29",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be >93° on Jul 29, 2026?",
    "station": "KDEN",
    "station_city": "Denver",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-30T06:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighden",
    "obs": {
      "temp_f": 70.8,
      "at": "2026-07-30T02:00:00.000Z",
      "trend_f_hr": -0.1,
      "source": "open-meteo"
    },
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 89.6,
      "sigma_f": 2.1,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:43:00.000Z",
      "peak_local": "1:42 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 90.5,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": -0.88
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 91.1,
      "ecmwf": 86.4,
      "gfs": 91.1,
      "icon": 92.8
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 91.1,
      "sigma_f": 2.5
    },
    "market_implied_f": 90.4,
    "gap_f": 0.7,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "90–91°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 1,
      "fair_c": 70,
      "edge_c": 69,
      "ev_pct": 6900,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 17.4
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 179321,
    "spread_c": null,
    "liquidity_grade": "—",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 1320,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤85°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 85,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0125,
        "selected_fair_c": 1,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0254,
        "fair_c": 3,
        "edge_c": 2,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 54362
      },
      {
        "bucket": "86–87°",
        "low_f": 86,
        "high_f": 87,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0624,
        "selected_fair_c": 6,
        "selected_edge_c": 5,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1332,
        "fair_c": 13,
        "edge_c": 12,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 53120
      },
      {
        "bucket": "88–89°",
        "low_f": 88,
        "high_f": 89,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1862,
        "selected_fair_c": 19,
        "selected_edge_c": 18,
        "sonde_prob": 0.3224,
        "fair_c": 32,
        "edge_c": 31,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 42541
      },
      {
        "bucket": "90–91°",
        "low_f": 90,
        "high_f": 91,
        "price_c": 99,
        "bid_c": 99,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.3025,
        "selected_fair_c": 30,
        "selected_edge_c": -69,
        "sonde_prob": 0.3362,
        "fair_c": 34,
        "edge_c": -65,
        "market_prob": 0.9519,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 9372
      },
      {
        "bucket": "92–93°",
        "low_f": 92,
        "high_f": 93,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2679,
        "selected_fair_c": 27,
        "selected_edge_c": 26,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1512,
        "fair_c": 15,
        "edge_c": 14,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 8468
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥94°",
        "low_f": 94,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1685,
        "selected_fair_c": 17,
        "selected_edge_c": 16,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0316,
        "fair_c": 3,
        "edge_c": 2,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 11458
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 71,
        "1": 70.4,
        "2": 68.5,
        "3": 65,
        "4": 66.8,
        "5": 67.7,
        "6": 64.6,
        "7": 67,
        "8": 72.3,
        "9": 76.8,
        "10": 79.4,
        "11": 82.8,
        "12": 85,
        "13": 87.9,
        "14": 89.6,
        "15": 82.9,
        "16": 75,
        "17": 69.2,
        "18": 69.5,
        "19": 71,
        "20": 69.3,
        "21": 67.5,
        "22": 66.4,
        "23": 66.2
      },
      "observed": {
        "0": 72.5,
        "1": 71.9,
        "2": 70,
        "3": 66.5,
        "4": 68.3,
        "5": 69.2,
        "6": 66.1,
        "7": 68.5,
        "8": 73.8,
        "9": 78.3,
        "10": 80.9,
        "11": 84.3,
        "12": 86.5,
        "13": 89.4,
        "14": 91.1,
        "15": 84.4,
        "16": 76.5,
        "17": 70.7,
        "18": 71,
        "19": 72.5,
        "20": 70.8,
        "21": 69,
        "22": 67.9,
        "23": 67.7
      },
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 72.5,
        "1": 71.9,
        "2": 70,
        "3": 66.5,
        "4": 68.3,
        "5": 69.2,
        "6": 66.1,
        "7": 68.5,
        "8": 73.8,
        "9": 78.3,
        "10": 80.9,
        "11": 84.3,
        "12": 86.5,
        "13": 89.4,
        "14": 91.1,
        "15": 84.4,
        "16": 76.5,
        "17": 70.7,
        "18": 71,
        "19": 72.5,
        "20": 70.8,
        "21": 69,
        "22": 67.9,
        "23": 67.7
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-6",
      "station": "KDEN",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T01:43:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T02:43:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 3.5,
      "bearing": "NE",
      "profile_age_min": 22,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 70.6,
        "feels_like_f": 74,
        "dewpoint_f": 63,
        "humidity_pct": 82,
        "wind_mph": 4,
        "wind_dir": "ESE",
        "sky": "Overcast",
        "pressure_inhg": 24.69,
        "pressure_trend": "falling",
        "today_range": "65.9–90.9°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": -0.2,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 21,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 8.5,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 80
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 1.5,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.4
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 14.1,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}