{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T01:53:20.056Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHPHIL-26JUL30",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be >87° on Jul 30, 2026?",
    "station": "KPHL",
    "station_city": "Philadelphia",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-31T04:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighphil",
    "obs": null,
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 81.5,
      "sigma_f": 2.6,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:53:26.122Z",
      "peak_local": "5:23 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 81.5,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": 0
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 81.1,
      "ecmwf": 82.7,
      "gfs": 81.1,
      "icon": 81.3
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 81.1,
      "sigma_f": 3
    },
    "market_implied_f": 83.5,
    "gap_f": -2.4,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "84–85°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 54,
      "fair_c": 86,
      "edge_c": 32,
      "ev_pct": 59,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 17.4
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 5761,
    "spread_c": 1,
    "liquidity_grade": "B+",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 1260,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤79°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 79,
        "price_c": 4,
        "bid_c": 3,
        "ask_c": 4,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2969,
        "selected_fair_c": 30,
        "selected_edge_c": 26,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2209,
        "fair_c": 22,
        "edge_c": 18,
        "market_prob": 0.0377,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 1178
      },
      {
        "bucket": "80–81°",
        "low_f": 80,
        "high_f": 81,
        "price_c": 7,
        "bid_c": 6,
        "ask_c": 7,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2561,
        "selected_fair_c": 26,
        "selected_edge_c": 19,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2791,
        "fair_c": 28,
        "edge_c": 21,
        "market_prob": 0.066,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 928
      },
      {
        "bucket": "82–83°",
        "low_f": 82,
        "high_f": 83,
        "price_c": 37,
        "bid_c": 36,
        "ask_c": 37,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2351,
        "selected_fair_c": 24,
        "selected_edge_c": -13,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2791,
        "fair_c": 28,
        "edge_c": -9,
        "market_prob": 0.3491,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 912
      },
      {
        "bucket": "84–85°",
        "low_f": 84,
        "high_f": 85,
        "price_c": 47,
        "bid_c": 46,
        "ask_c": 47,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1406,
        "selected_fair_c": 14,
        "selected_edge_c": -33,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1589,
        "fair_c": 16,
        "edge_c": -31,
        "market_prob": 0.4434,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 832
      },
      {
        "bucket": "86–87°",
        "low_f": 86,
        "high_f": 87,
        "price_c": 9,
        "bid_c": 8,
        "ask_c": 9,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0548,
        "selected_fair_c": 5,
        "selected_edge_c": -4,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0515,
        "fair_c": 5,
        "edge_c": -4,
        "market_prob": 0.0849,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 990
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥88°",
        "low_f": 88,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 2,
        "bid_c": 1,
        "ask_c": 3,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0164,
        "selected_fair_c": 2,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0105,
        "fair_c": 1,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0189,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 921
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 70.1,
        "1": 69.4,
        "2": 68.6,
        "3": 68.1,
        "4": 67.6,
        "5": 66.9,
        "6": 66.6,
        "7": 68.1,
        "8": 71,
        "9": 73,
        "10": 74,
        "11": 75.9,
        "12": 76.6,
        "13": 77.8,
        "14": 78.5,
        "15": 80.5,
        "16": 78,
        "17": 81.5,
        "18": 81,
        "19": 79.5,
        "20": 76.5,
        "21": 72.9,
        "22": 72,
        "23": 71.5
      },
      "observed": {},
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 69.7,
        "1": 69,
        "2": 68.2,
        "3": 67.7,
        "4": 67.2,
        "5": 66.5,
        "6": 66.2,
        "7": 67.7,
        "8": 70.6,
        "9": 72.6,
        "10": 73.6,
        "11": 75.5,
        "12": 76.2,
        "13": 77.4,
        "14": 78.1,
        "15": 80.1,
        "16": 77.6,
        "17": 81.1,
        "18": 80.6,
        "19": 79.1,
        "20": 76.1,
        "21": 72.5,
        "22": 71.6,
        "23": 71.1
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-5",
      "station": "KPHL",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T01:32:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T02:32:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 2,
      "bearing": "E",
      "profile_age_min": 21,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 72.3,
        "feels_like_f": 77,
        "dewpoint_f": 65,
        "humidity_pct": 76,
        "wind_mph": 4,
        "wind_dir": "WNW",
        "sky": "Overcast",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.72,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "68.4–81.8°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": -0.3,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 15.6,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 9,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 79
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 2.1,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.6
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 13.9,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}