{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T02:07:33.066Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHPHIL-26JUL29",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be >86° on Jul 29, 2026?",
    "station": "KPHL",
    "station_city": "Philadelphia",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-30T04:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighphil",
    "obs": {
      "temp_f": 72.2,
      "at": "2026-07-30T02:00:00.000Z",
      "trend_f_hr": -2.2,
      "source": "open-meteo"
    },
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 81.8,
      "sigma_f": 1.3,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:32:00.000Z",
      "peak_local": "3:41 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 82.6,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": -0.77
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 82.1,
      "ecmwf": 82.3,
      "gfs": 82.1,
      "icon": 84.4
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 82.1,
      "sigma_f": 1.6
    },
    "market_implied_f": 85.3,
    "gap_f": -3.2,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "85–86°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 1,
      "fair_c": 94,
      "edge_c": 93,
      "ev_pct": 9300,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 23.4
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 589733,
    "spread_c": null,
    "liquidity_grade": "—",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 2160,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤78°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 78,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0122,
        "selected_fair_c": 1,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0056,
        "fair_c": 1,
        "edge_c": 0,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 189820
      },
      {
        "bucket": "79–80°",
        "low_f": 79,
        "high_f": 80,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1464,
        "selected_fair_c": 15,
        "selected_edge_c": 14,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1531,
        "fair_c": 15,
        "edge_c": 14,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 81906
      },
      {
        "bucket": "81–82°",
        "low_f": 81,
        "high_f": 82,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.4401,
        "selected_fair_c": 44,
        "selected_edge_c": 43,
        "sonde_prob": 0.5462,
        "fair_c": 55,
        "edge_c": 54,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 99280
      },
      {
        "bucket": "83–84°",
        "low_f": 83,
        "high_f": 84,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.3345,
        "selected_fair_c": 33,
        "selected_edge_c": 32,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2762,
        "fair_c": 28,
        "edge_c": 27,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 186650
      },
      {
        "bucket": "85–86°",
        "low_f": 85,
        "high_f": 86,
        "price_c": 99,
        "bid_c": 99,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0638,
        "selected_fair_c": 6,
        "selected_edge_c": -93,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0188,
        "fair_c": 2,
        "edge_c": -97,
        "market_prob": 0.9519,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 15484
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥87°",
        "low_f": 87,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.003,
        "selected_fair_c": 0,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0001,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 16593
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 69.5,
        "1": 69.4,
        "2": 69.6,
        "3": 69.5,
        "4": 68.8,
        "5": 68.4,
        "6": 68.4,
        "7": 69.1,
        "8": 71,
        "9": 73.7,
        "10": 75.9,
        "11": 77.4,
        "12": 79.1,
        "13": 79.2,
        "14": 80.8,
        "15": 81.5,
        "16": 81.8,
        "17": 80.4,
        "18": 77.8,
        "19": 77.3,
        "20": 76.3,
        "21": 73.5,
        "22": 71.9,
        "23": 71.6
      },
      "observed": {
        "0": 69.8,
        "1": 69.7,
        "2": 69.9,
        "3": 69.8,
        "4": 69.1,
        "5": 68.7,
        "6": 68.7,
        "7": 69.4,
        "8": 71.3,
        "9": 74,
        "10": 76.2,
        "11": 77.7,
        "12": 79.4,
        "13": 79.5,
        "14": 81.1,
        "15": 81.8,
        "16": 82.1,
        "17": 80.7,
        "18": 78.1,
        "19": 77.6,
        "20": 76.6,
        "21": 73.8,
        "22": 72.2,
        "23": 71.9
      },
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 69.8,
        "1": 69.7,
        "2": 69.9,
        "3": 69.8,
        "4": 69.1,
        "5": 68.7,
        "6": 68.7,
        "7": 69.4,
        "8": 71.3,
        "9": 74,
        "10": 76.2,
        "11": 77.7,
        "12": 79.4,
        "13": 79.5,
        "14": 81.1,
        "15": 81.8,
        "16": 82.1,
        "17": 80.7,
        "18": 78.1,
        "19": 77.6,
        "20": 76.6,
        "21": 73.8,
        "22": 72.2,
        "23": 71.9
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-5",
      "station": "KPHL",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T01:32:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T02:32:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 2,
      "bearing": "E",
      "profile_age_min": 36,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 71.9,
        "feels_like_f": 76,
        "dewpoint_f": 64,
        "humidity_pct": 75,
        "wind_mph": 5,
        "wind_dir": "W",
        "sky": "Overcast",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.71,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "68.4–81.8°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": -0.3,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 15.4,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 9,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 78
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 2.1,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.6
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 14.1,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}