{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T02:02:24.704Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHNY-26JUL30",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be >84° on Jul 30, 2026?",
    "station": "KNYC",
    "station_city": "New York",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-31T04:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighny",
    "obs": null,
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 76.8,
      "sigma_f": 2.8,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T02:02:29.072Z",
      "peak_local": "1:57 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 76.8,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": 0
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 77.2,
      "ecmwf": 78.2,
      "gfs": 75.8,
      "icon": 78.3
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 77.2,
      "sigma_f": 3.1
    },
    "market_implied_f": 78,
    "gap_f": -0.8,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "77–78°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 54,
      "fair_c": 75,
      "edge_c": 21,
      "ev_pct": 39,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 11.3
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 22271,
    "spread_c": 2,
    "liquidity_grade": "B",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 1740,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤76°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 76,
        "price_c": 21,
        "bid_c": 20,
        "ask_c": 22,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.4107,
        "selected_fair_c": 41,
        "selected_edge_c": 20,
        "sonde_prob": 0.4573,
        "fair_c": 46,
        "edge_c": 25,
        "market_prob": 0.1981,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2198
      },
      {
        "bucket": "77–78°",
        "low_f": 77,
        "high_f": 78,
        "price_c": 47,
        "bid_c": 46,
        "ask_c": 47,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2518,
        "selected_fair_c": 25,
        "selected_edge_c": -22,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2708,
        "fair_c": 27,
        "edge_c": -20,
        "market_prob": 0.4434,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2324
      },
      {
        "bucket": "79–80°",
        "low_f": 79,
        "high_f": 80,
        "price_c": 29,
        "bid_c": 28,
        "ask_c": 29,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1939,
        "selected_fair_c": 19,
        "selected_edge_c": -10,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1787,
        "fair_c": 18,
        "edge_c": -11,
        "market_prob": 0.2736,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2047
      },
      {
        "bucket": "81–82°",
        "low_f": 81,
        "high_f": 82,
        "price_c": 6,
        "bid_c": 5,
        "ask_c": 6,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0999,
        "selected_fair_c": 10,
        "selected_edge_c": 4,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0723,
        "fair_c": 7,
        "edge_c": 1,
        "market_prob": 0.0566,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2049
      },
      {
        "bucket": "83–84°",
        "low_f": 83,
        "high_f": 84,
        "price_c": 2,
        "bid_c": 1,
        "ask_c": 2,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0344,
        "selected_fair_c": 3,
        "selected_edge_c": 1,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0179,
        "fair_c": 2,
        "edge_c": 0,
        "market_prob": 0.0189,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2325
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥85°",
        "low_f": 85,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0093,
        "selected_fair_c": 1,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0.003,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0094,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 11328
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 69.6,
        "1": 68.7,
        "2": 68.1,
        "3": 67.9,
        "4": 67.1,
        "5": 66.2,
        "6": 65.6,
        "7": 66.9,
        "8": 68.3,
        "9": 69.4,
        "10": 71.6,
        "11": 71.3,
        "12": 72.9,
        "13": 75.9,
        "14": 76.8,
        "15": 75.7,
        "16": 76.5,
        "17": 76.6,
        "18": 76.5,
        "19": 76.3,
        "20": 74.2,
        "21": 72.1,
        "22": 70.5,
        "23": 69.6
      },
      "observed": {},
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 68.6,
        "1": 68.7,
        "2": 68.1,
        "3": 67.4,
        "4": 66.9,
        "5": 66.6,
        "6": 66.1,
        "7": 67.2,
        "8": 67.8,
        "9": 70.4,
        "10": 72.1,
        "11": 71.8,
        "12": 71.9,
        "13": 74.5,
        "14": 76.1,
        "15": 76.9,
        "16": 77,
        "17": 77.2,
        "18": 77.1,
        "19": 76,
        "20": 73.9,
        "21": 72.4,
        "22": 71.3,
        "23": 70.1
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-7",
      "station": "KNYC",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T01:33:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T02:33:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 4.2,
      "bearing": "NE",
      "profile_age_min": 29,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 72.3,
        "feels_like_f": 76,
        "dewpoint_f": 65,
        "humidity_pct": 81,
        "wind_mph": 7,
        "wind_dir": "W",
        "sky": "Clear",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.49,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "69.3–81.1°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": 1,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 15.5,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 9.6,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 81
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 1.3,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.7
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 14,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}