{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T02:07:32.876Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHNY-26JUL29",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be >83° on Jul 29, 2026?",
    "station": "KNYC",
    "station_city": "New York",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-30T04:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighny",
    "obs": {
      "temp_f": 71.3,
      "at": "2026-07-30T02:00:00.000Z",
      "trend_f_hr": -1.6,
      "source": "open-meteo"
    },
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 79.9,
      "sigma_f": 1.1,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:33:00.000Z",
      "peak_local": "5:37 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 80.6,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": -0.64
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 80.1,
      "ecmwf": 80.4,
      "gfs": 80.1,
      "icon": 82.1
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 80.1,
      "sigma_f": 1.5
    },
    "market_implied_f": 80.4,
    "gap_f": -0.3,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "80–81°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 1,
      "fair_c": 52,
      "edge_c": 51,
      "ev_pct": 5100,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 12.9
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 835638,
    "spread_c": null,
    "liquidity_grade": "—",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 2100,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤75°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 75,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0011,
        "selected_fair_c": 0,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 115818
      },
      {
        "bucket": "76–77°",
        "low_f": 76,
        "high_f": 77,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0404,
        "selected_fair_c": 4,
        "selected_edge_c": 3,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0145,
        "fair_c": 1,
        "edge_c": 0,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 332350
      },
      {
        "bucket": "78–79°",
        "low_f": 78,
        "high_f": 79,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.3031,
        "selected_fair_c": 30,
        "selected_edge_c": 29,
        "sonde_prob": 0.3435,
        "fair_c": 34,
        "edge_c": 33,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 217580
      },
      {
        "bucket": "80–81°",
        "low_f": 80,
        "high_f": 81,
        "price_c": 99,
        "bid_c": 99,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.4801,
        "selected_fair_c": 48,
        "selected_edge_c": -51,
        "sonde_prob": 0.569,
        "fair_c": 57,
        "edge_c": -42,
        "market_prob": 0.9519,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 81848
      },
      {
        "bucket": "82–83°",
        "low_f": 82,
        "high_f": 83,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1636,
        "selected_fair_c": 16,
        "selected_edge_c": 15,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0724,
        "fair_c": 7,
        "edge_c": 6,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 72511
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥84°",
        "low_f": 84,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0117,
        "selected_fair_c": 1,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0005,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 15531
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 72.5,
        "1": 71.6,
        "2": 70.9,
        "3": 69.2,
        "4": 68.1,
        "5": 68.4,
        "6": 68.4,
        "7": 68.9,
        "8": 69.8,
        "9": 71.3,
        "10": 70.5,
        "11": 71.5,
        "12": 75,
        "13": 77.7,
        "14": 78.4,
        "15": 79.4,
        "16": 79.2,
        "17": 79.4,
        "18": 79.9,
        "19": 76.1,
        "20": 74.4,
        "21": 72.9,
        "22": 71.1,
        "23": 69.2
      },
      "observed": {
        "0": 72.7,
        "1": 71.8,
        "2": 71.1,
        "3": 69.4,
        "4": 68.3,
        "5": 68.6,
        "6": 68.6,
        "7": 69.1,
        "8": 70,
        "9": 71.5,
        "10": 70.7,
        "11": 71.7,
        "12": 75.2,
        "13": 77.9,
        "14": 78.6,
        "15": 79.6,
        "16": 79.4,
        "17": 79.6,
        "18": 80.1,
        "19": 76.3,
        "20": 74.6,
        "21": 73.1,
        "22": 71.3,
        "23": 69.4
      },
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 72.7,
        "1": 71.8,
        "2": 71.1,
        "3": 69.4,
        "4": 68.3,
        "5": 68.6,
        "6": 68.6,
        "7": 69.1,
        "8": 70,
        "9": 71.5,
        "10": 70.7,
        "11": 71.7,
        "12": 75.2,
        "13": 77.9,
        "14": 78.6,
        "15": 79.6,
        "16": 79.4,
        "17": 79.6,
        "18": 80.1,
        "19": 76.3,
        "20": 74.6,
        "21": 73.1,
        "22": 71.3,
        "23": 69.4
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-7",
      "station": "KNYC",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T01:33:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T02:33:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 4.2,
      "bearing": "NE",
      "profile_age_min": 35,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 72.3,
        "feels_like_f": 76,
        "dewpoint_f": 65,
        "humidity_pct": 81,
        "wind_mph": 7,
        "wind_dir": "W",
        "sky": "Clear",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.49,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "69.3–81.1°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": 1,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 15.5,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 9.6,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 81
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 1.3,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.7
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 14.1,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}