{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T02:05:24.650Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL30",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in LA** be >83° on Jul 30, 2026?",
    "station": "KLAX",
    "station_city": "Los Angeles",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-31T07:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighlax",
    "obs": null,
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 79.7,
      "sigma_f": 3.5,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T02:05:27.447Z",
      "peak_local": "12:15 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 79.7,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": 0
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 75.3,
      "ecmwf": 91,
      "gfs": 75.3,
      "icon": 81.7
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 75.3,
      "sigma_f": 3.9
    },
    "market_implied_f": 78.6,
    "gap_f": -3.3,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "≤75°",
      "side": "yes",
      "price_c": 4,
      "fair_c": 52,
      "edge_c": 48,
      "ev_pct": 1200,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 12.5
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 28711,
    "spread_c": 1,
    "liquidity_grade": "B+",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 1380,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤75°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 75,
        "price_c": 4,
        "bid_c": 3,
        "ask_c": 4,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.5204,
        "selected_fair_c": 52,
        "selected_edge_c": 48,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1151,
        "fair_c": 12,
        "edge_c": 8,
        "market_prob": 0.0374,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2189
      },
      {
        "bucket": "76–77°",
        "low_f": 76,
        "high_f": 77,
        "price_c": 22,
        "bid_c": 21,
        "ask_c": 22,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1932,
        "selected_fair_c": 19,
        "selected_edge_c": -3,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1497,
        "fair_c": 15,
        "edge_c": -7,
        "market_prob": 0.2056,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 3223
      },
      {
        "bucket": "78–79°",
        "low_f": 78,
        "high_f": 79,
        "price_c": 57,
        "bid_c": 56,
        "ask_c": 57,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1456,
        "selected_fair_c": 15,
        "selected_edge_c": -42,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2124,
        "fair_c": 21,
        "edge_c": -36,
        "market_prob": 0.5327,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 3308
      },
      {
        "bucket": "80–81°",
        "low_f": 80,
        "high_f": 81,
        "price_c": 18,
        "bid_c": 17,
        "ask_c": 18,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0848,
        "selected_fair_c": 8,
        "selected_edge_c": -10,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2193,
        "fair_c": 22,
        "edge_c": 4,
        "market_prob": 0.1682,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 3208
      },
      {
        "bucket": "82–83°",
        "low_f": 82,
        "high_f": 83,
        "price_c": 3,
        "bid_c": 2,
        "ask_c": 3,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0382,
        "selected_fair_c": 4,
        "selected_edge_c": 1,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1647,
        "fair_c": 16,
        "edge_c": 13,
        "market_prob": 0.028,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 4733
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥84°",
        "low_f": 84,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 3,
        "bid_c": 2,
        "ask_c": 3,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0178,
        "selected_fair_c": 2,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1388,
        "fair_c": 14,
        "edge_c": 11,
        "market_prob": 0.028,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 12050
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 69.4,
        "1": 68.5,
        "2": 67.8,
        "3": 68.9,
        "4": 69.2,
        "5": 68.7,
        "6": 68.2,
        "7": 68.2,
        "8": 69.8,
        "9": 72.7,
        "10": 76.8,
        "11": 79.4,
        "12": 79.7,
        "13": 79.6,
        "14": 79.3,
        "15": 79.3,
        "16": 78.4,
        "17": 77.5,
        "18": 75.7,
        "19": 73.7,
        "20": 71.1,
        "21": 70.5,
        "22": 70.3,
        "23": 70.3
      },
      "observed": {},
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 65,
        "1": 64.1,
        "2": 63.4,
        "3": 64.5,
        "4": 64.8,
        "5": 64.3,
        "6": 63.8,
        "7": 63.8,
        "8": 65.4,
        "9": 68.3,
        "10": 72.4,
        "11": 75,
        "12": 75.3,
        "13": 75.2,
        "14": 74.9,
        "15": 74.9,
        "16": 74,
        "17": 73.1,
        "18": 71.3,
        "19": 69.3,
        "20": 66.7,
        "21": 66.1,
        "22": 65.9,
        "23": 65.9
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-9",
      "station": "KLAX",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T01:42:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T02:42:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 3.8,
      "bearing": "N",
      "profile_age_min": 23,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 70.3,
        "feels_like_f": 73,
        "dewpoint_f": 65,
        "humidity_pct": 81,
        "wind_mph": 10,
        "wind_dir": "W",
        "sky": "Clear",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.65,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "65.3–78.4°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": -0.1,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 15.3,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 8.3,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 85
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 1,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.6
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 14.1,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}