{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T02:03:02.495Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHCHI-26JUL30",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the high temp in Chicago be >92° on Jul 30, 2026?",
    "station": "KMDW",
    "station_city": "Chicago",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-31T05:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi",
    "obs": null,
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 88,
      "sigma_f": 2.7,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T02:03:09.026Z",
      "peak_local": "3:37 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 88,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": 0
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 88.5,
      "ecmwf": 87.9,
      "gfs": 88.5,
      "icon": 86.4
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 88.5,
      "sigma_f": 3.1
    },
    "market_implied_f": 86,
    "gap_f": 2.5,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "85–86°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 56,
      "fair_c": 84,
      "edge_c": 28,
      "ev_pct": 50,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 15.9
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 13294,
    "spread_c": 1,
    "liquidity_grade": "B+",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 1980,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤84°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 84,
        "price_c": 21,
        "bid_c": 20,
        "ask_c": 22,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0985,
        "selected_fair_c": 10,
        "selected_edge_c": -11,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0974,
        "fair_c": 10,
        "edge_c": -11,
        "market_prob": 0.2079,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 1798
      },
      {
        "bucket": "85–86°",
        "low_f": 85,
        "high_f": 86,
        "price_c": 45,
        "bid_c": 44,
        "ask_c": 45,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1609,
        "selected_fair_c": 16,
        "selected_edge_c": -29,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1918,
        "fair_c": 19,
        "edge_c": -26,
        "market_prob": 0.4455,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2043
      },
      {
        "bucket": "87–88°",
        "low_f": 87,
        "high_f": 88,
        "price_c": 25,
        "bid_c": 23,
        "ask_c": 26,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2406,
        "selected_fair_c": 24,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2842,
        "fair_c": 28,
        "edge_c": 3,
        "market_prob": 0.2475,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 2520
      },
      {
        "bucket": "89–90°",
        "low_f": 89,
        "high_f": 90,
        "price_c": 5,
        "bid_c": 4,
        "ask_c": 5,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2406,
        "selected_fair_c": 24,
        "selected_edge_c": 19,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2493,
        "fair_c": 25,
        "edge_c": 20,
        "market_prob": 0.0495,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 1993
      },
      {
        "bucket": "91–92°",
        "low_f": 91,
        "high_f": 92,
        "price_c": 3,
        "bid_c": 2,
        "ask_c": 3,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1609,
        "selected_fair_c": 16,
        "selected_edge_c": 13,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1295,
        "fair_c": 13,
        "edge_c": 10,
        "market_prob": 0.0297,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 1838
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥93°",
        "low_f": 93,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 2,
        "bid_c": 1,
        "ask_c": 2,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0985,
        "selected_fair_c": 10,
        "selected_edge_c": 8,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0478,
        "fair_c": 5,
        "edge_c": 3,
        "market_prob": 0.0198,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 3102
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 65.8,
        "1": 64.7,
        "2": 63.9,
        "3": 63.5,
        "4": 62.8,
        "5": 62.4,
        "6": 61.9,
        "7": 64.5,
        "8": 69.2,
        "9": 72.9,
        "10": 76.3,
        "11": 79.1,
        "12": 82.4,
        "13": 84.9,
        "14": 86.8,
        "15": 87.8,
        "16": 88,
        "17": 86.4,
        "18": 85,
        "19": 82.3,
        "20": 77.6,
        "21": 74.5,
        "22": 73,
        "23": 72.3
      },
      "observed": {},
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 66.3,
        "1": 65.2,
        "2": 64.4,
        "3": 64,
        "4": 63.3,
        "5": 62.9,
        "6": 62.4,
        "7": 65,
        "8": 69.7,
        "9": 73.4,
        "10": 76.8,
        "11": 79.6,
        "12": 82.9,
        "13": 85.4,
        "14": 87.3,
        "15": 88.3,
        "16": 88.5,
        "17": 86.9,
        "18": 85.5,
        "19": 82.8,
        "20": 78.1,
        "21": 75,
        "22": 73.5,
        "23": 72.8
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-3",
      "station": "KMDW",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T01:30:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T02:30:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 3.9,
      "bearing": "SW",
      "profile_age_min": 33,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 70.3,
        "feels_like_f": 72,
        "dewpoint_f": 58,
        "humidity_pct": 70,
        "wind_mph": 6,
        "wind_dir": "NE",
        "sky": "Clear",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.35,
        "pressure_trend": "steady",
        "today_range": "62.8–79.9°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": 0.8,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 16.4,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 8.6,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 69
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 0.6,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.2
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 14.1,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}