{
  "as_of": "2026-07-31T03:21:44.088Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL30",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be <98° on Jul 30, 2026?",
    "station": "KAUS",
    "station_city": "Austin",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-31T05:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighaus",
    "obs": {
      "temp_f": 87.6,
      "at": "2026-07-31T03:15:00.000Z",
      "trend_f_hr": -3.2,
      "source": "open-meteo"
    },
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 98.2,
      "sigma_f": 0.9,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-31T03:21:00.000Z",
      "peak_local": "5:10 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 99.1,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": -0.92
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 99.3,
      "ecmwf": 98.9,
      "gfs": 99.3,
      "icon": 98.9
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 99.3,
      "sigma_f": 1.4
    },
    "market_implied_f": 100.5,
    "gap_f": -1.2,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "100–101°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 1,
      "fair_c": 61,
      "edge_c": 60,
      "ev_pct": 6000,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 15.3
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 396443,
    "spread_c": null,
    "liquidity_grade": "—",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 60,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤97°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 97,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0993,
        "selected_fair_c": 10,
        "selected_edge_c": 9,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2183,
        "fair_c": 22,
        "edge_c": 21,
        "market_prob": 0.0097,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 164606
      },
      {
        "bucket": "98–99°",
        "low_f": 98,
        "high_f": 99,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.4575,
        "selected_fair_c": 46,
        "selected_edge_c": 45,
        "sonde_prob": 0.7073,
        "fair_c": 71,
        "edge_c": 70,
        "market_prob": 0.0097,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 157923
      },
      {
        "bucket": "100–101°",
        "low_f": 100,
        "high_f": 101,
        "price_c": 99,
        "bid_c": 99,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.3852,
        "selected_fair_c": 39,
        "selected_edge_c": -60,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0742,
        "fair_c": 7,
        "edge_c": -92,
        "market_prob": 0.9612,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 32655
      },
      {
        "bucket": "102–103°",
        "low_f": 102,
        "high_f": 103,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0567,
        "selected_fair_c": 6,
        "selected_edge_c": 5,
        "sonde_prob": 0.0001,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0097,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 31511
      },
      {
        "bucket": "104–105°",
        "low_f": 104,
        "high_f": 105,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0013,
        "selected_fair_c": 0,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0097,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 9748
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥106°",
        "low_f": 106,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 0,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0,
        "selected_fair_c": 0,
        "selected_edge_c": 0,
        "sonde_prob": 0,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": 0,
        "market_prob": 0,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 0
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 82.6,
        "1": 81.1,
        "2": 79.7,
        "3": 79.6,
        "4": 79.6,
        "5": 77.8,
        "6": 78.5,
        "7": 77.5,
        "8": 77.4,
        "9": 80.3,
        "10": 83,
        "11": 86.9,
        "12": 89.5,
        "13": 92,
        "14": 93.9,
        "15": 96.4,
        "16": 97.4,
        "17": 98.2,
        "18": 97.8,
        "19": 96.6,
        "20": 93.8,
        "21": 89,
        "22": 87.1,
        "23": 84.3
      },
      "observed": {
        "0": 83.7,
        "1": 82.2,
        "2": 80.8,
        "3": 80.7,
        "4": 80.7,
        "5": 78.9,
        "6": 79.6,
        "7": 78.6,
        "8": 78.5,
        "9": 81.4,
        "10": 84.1,
        "11": 88,
        "12": 90.6,
        "13": 93.1,
        "14": 95,
        "15": 97.5,
        "16": 98.5,
        "17": 99.3,
        "18": 98.9,
        "19": 97.7,
        "20": 94.9,
        "21": 90.1,
        "22": 88.2,
        "23": 85.4
      },
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 83.7,
        "1": 82.2,
        "2": 80.8,
        "3": 80.7,
        "4": 80.7,
        "5": 78.9,
        "6": 79.6,
        "7": 78.6,
        "8": 78.5,
        "9": 81.4,
        "10": 84.1,
        "11": 88,
        "12": 90.6,
        "13": 93.1,
        "14": 95,
        "15": 97.5,
        "16": 98.5,
        "17": 99.3,
        "18": 98.9,
        "19": 97.7,
        "20": 94.9,
        "21": 90.1,
        "22": 88.2,
        "23": 85.4
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-2",
      "station": "KAUS",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-31T03:21:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-31T04:21:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 1.1,
      "bearing": "S",
      "profile_age_min": 1,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 87.8,
        "feels_like_f": 90,
        "dewpoint_f": 66,
        "humidity_pct": 48,
        "wind_mph": 13,
        "wind_dir": "S",
        "sky": "Overcast",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.36,
        "pressure_trend": "rising",
        "today_range": "78.7–99.5°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": 0.2,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 26.1,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 8.3,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 52
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 2.3,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.3
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 15.3,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}