{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T02:05:50.230Z",
  "market": {
    "ticker": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL29",
    "venue": "kalshi",
    "title": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be <96° on Jul 29, 2026?",
    "station": "KAUS",
    "station_city": "Austin",
    "type": "daily_high",
    "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
    "closes_at": "2026-07-30T05:59:00.000Z",
    "status": "open",
    "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighaus",
    "obs": {
      "temp_f": 90.3,
      "at": "2026-07-30T02:00:00.000Z",
      "trend_f_hr": -3,
      "source": "open-meteo"
    },
    "forecast": {
      "high_f": 96.2,
      "sigma_f": 1.2,
      "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:21:00.000Z",
      "peak_local": "4:45 PM",
      "components": {
        "model_consensus_f": 96.8,
        "obs_bias_f": 0,
        "balloon_nudge_f": -0.64
      }
    },
    "consensus": {
      "open_meteo": 96.8,
      "ecmwf": 95.6,
      "gfs": 96.8,
      "icon": 98.2
    },
    "selected_forecast": {
      "source": "open_meteo",
      "label": "Open-Meteo",
      "high_f": 96.8,
      "sigma_f": 1.5
    },
    "market_implied_f": 98.6,
    "gap_f": -1.8,
    "edge": {
      "bucket": "98–99°",
      "side": "no",
      "price_c": 1,
      "fair_c": 72,
      "edge_c": 71,
      "ev_pct": 7100,
      "kelly_quarter_pct": 17.8
    },
    "volume_usd": 0,
    "open_interest_usd": 290675,
    "spread_c": null,
    "liquidity_grade": "—",
    "sonde_obs_age_s": 2700,
    "simulated": {
      "balloon_network": true,
      "market_book": false
    },
    "ladder": [
      {
        "bucket": "≤95°",
        "low_f": null,
        "high_f": 95,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.1931,
        "selected_fair_c": 19,
        "selected_edge_c": 18,
        "sonde_prob": 0.2798,
        "fair_c": 28,
        "edge_c": 27,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 100212
      },
      {
        "bucket": "96–97°",
        "low_f": 96,
        "high_f": 97,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.4866,
        "selected_fair_c": 49,
        "selected_edge_c": 48,
        "sonde_prob": 0.5808,
        "fair_c": 58,
        "edge_c": 57,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 99404
      },
      {
        "bucket": "98–99°",
        "low_f": 98,
        "high_f": 99,
        "price_c": 99,
        "bid_c": 99,
        "ask_c": null,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.2844,
        "selected_fair_c": 28,
        "selected_edge_c": -71,
        "sonde_prob": 0.1364,
        "fair_c": 14,
        "edge_c": -85,
        "market_prob": 0.9519,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 27858
      },
      {
        "bucket": "100–101°",
        "low_f": 100,
        "high_f": 101,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0351,
        "selected_fair_c": 4,
        "selected_edge_c": 3,
        "sonde_prob": 0.003,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 30036
      },
      {
        "bucket": "102–103°",
        "low_f": 102,
        "high_f": 103,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0.0009,
        "selected_fair_c": 0,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 12305
      },
      {
        "bucket": "≥104°",
        "low_f": 104,
        "high_f": null,
        "price_c": 1,
        "bid_c": null,
        "ask_c": 1,
        "selected_forecast_source": "open_meteo",
        "selected_prob": 0,
        "selected_fair_c": 0,
        "selected_edge_c": -1,
        "sonde_prob": 0,
        "fair_c": 0,
        "edge_c": -1,
        "market_prob": 0.0096,
        "volume_usd": 0,
        "open_interest_usd": 20860
      }
    ],
    "hourly": {
      "sonde": {
        "0": 81.9,
        "1": 81,
        "2": 79.9,
        "3": 78.7,
        "4": 78,
        "5": 77.5,
        "6": 77.3,
        "7": 77.7,
        "8": 78.1,
        "9": 80.3,
        "10": 83.2,
        "11": 86.3,
        "12": 88.7,
        "13": 90.5,
        "14": 92.5,
        "15": 94,
        "16": 96.1,
        "17": 96.2,
        "18": 95.9,
        "19": 95.6,
        "20": 92.9,
        "21": 89.7,
        "22": 87,
        "23": 84.3
      },
      "observed": {
        "0": 82.5,
        "1": 81.6,
        "2": 80.5,
        "3": 79.3,
        "4": 78.6,
        "5": 78.1,
        "6": 77.9,
        "7": 78.3,
        "8": 78.7,
        "9": 80.9,
        "10": 83.8,
        "11": 86.9,
        "12": 89.3,
        "13": 91.1,
        "14": 93.1,
        "15": 94.6,
        "16": 96.7,
        "17": 96.8,
        "18": 96.5,
        "19": 96.2,
        "20": 93.5,
        "21": 90.3,
        "22": 87.6,
        "23": 84.9
      },
      "open_meteo": {
        "0": 82.5,
        "1": 81.6,
        "2": 80.5,
        "3": 79.3,
        "4": 78.6,
        "5": 78.1,
        "6": 77.9,
        "7": 78.3,
        "8": 78.7,
        "9": 80.9,
        "10": 83.8,
        "11": 86.9,
        "12": 89.3,
        "13": 91.1,
        "14": 93.1,
        "15": 94.6,
        "16": 96.7,
        "17": 96.8,
        "18": 96.5,
        "19": 96.2,
        "20": 93.5,
        "21": 90.3,
        "22": 87.6,
        "23": 84.9
      }
    },
    "sounding": {
      "unit": "SONDE-2",
      "station": "KAUS",
      "launched_at": "2026-07-30T01:21:00.000Z",
      "next_launch_at": "2026-07-30T02:21:00.000Z",
      "distance_mi": 3.7,
      "bearing": "S",
      "profile_age_min": 45,
      "cycle": "hourly",
      "surface": {
        "temp_f": 90.6,
        "feels_like_f": 94,
        "dewpoint_f": 68,
        "humidity_pct": 46,
        "wind_mph": 10,
        "wind_dir": "SE",
        "sky": "Clear",
        "pressure_inhg": 29.27,
        "pressure_trend": "steady",
        "today_range": "78.2–97.1°",
        "feed": "2-s telemetry"
      },
      "delta_vs_station_f": 0.3,
      "levels_summary": {
        "t_925mb_c": 26.8,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.1,
        "lapse_0_1km_c_km": 9.6,
        "low_level_rh_pct": 48
      },
      "delta_vs_open_meteo": {
        "t_925mb_c": 1.9,
        "mixed_layer_depth_km": 0.7
      },
      "fresher_than_open_meteo_h": 14.1,
      "simulated": true
    }
  }
}