{
  "as_of": "2026-07-30T01:52:27.401Z",
  "count": 14,
  "venues": [
    {
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "ok": true,
      "count": 14
    },
    {
      "venue": "polymarket",
      "ok": true,
      "count": 0
    }
  ],
  "notice": "Balloon-network telemetry on this deployment is simulated; forecasts, observations and market data are live. See /v1/diagnostics.",
  "markets": [
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHPHIL-26JUL29",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be >86° on Jul 29, 2026?",
      "station": "KPHL",
      "station_city": "Philadelphia",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-30T04:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighphil",
      "obs": {
        "temp_f": 72.6,
        "at": "2026-07-30T01:45:00.000Z",
        "trend_f_hr": -1.8,
        "source": "open-meteo"
      },
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 81.9,
        "sigma_f": 1.3,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:32:00.000Z",
        "peak_local": "3:41 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 82.6,
          "obs_bias_f": 0.09,
          "balloon_nudge_f": -0.77
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 82.1,
        "ecmwf": 82.3,
        "gfs": 82.1,
        "icon": 84.4
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 82.1,
        "sigma_f": 1.6
      },
      "market_implied_f": 85.3,
      "gap_f": -3.2,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "85–86°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 1,
        "fair_c": 94,
        "edge_c": 93,
        "ev_pct": 9300,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 23.4
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 589874,
      "spread_c": null,
      "liquidity_grade": "—",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 1200,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL29",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in LA** be >82° on Jul 29, 2026?",
      "station": "KLAX",
      "station_city": "Los Angeles",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-30T07:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighlax",
      "obs": {
        "temp_f": 71.3,
        "at": "2026-07-30T01:45:00.000Z",
        "trend_f_hr": -1.6,
        "source": "open-meteo"
      },
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 80.1,
        "sigma_f": 3.5,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:42:00.000Z",
        "peak_local": "11:08 AM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 81.1,
          "obs_bias_f": -0.11,
          "balloon_nudge_f": -0.92
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 78.5,
        "ecmwf": 88,
        "gfs": 78.5,
        "icon": 82.2
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 78.5,
        "sigma_f": 3.9
      },
      "market_implied_f": 79.4,
      "gap_f": -0.9,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "79–80°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 1,
        "fair_c": 80,
        "edge_c": 79,
        "ev_pct": 7900,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 20.1
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 944743,
      "spread_c": null,
      "liquidity_grade": "—",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 600,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUL29",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be >97° on Jul 29, 2026?",
      "station": "KMIA",
      "station_city": "Miami",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-30T04:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighmia",
      "obs": {
        "temp_f": 82.1,
        "at": "2026-07-30T01:45:00.000Z",
        "trend_f_hr": -2.3,
        "source": "open-meteo"
      },
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 92.1,
        "sigma_f": 1.7,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:06:00.000Z",
        "peak_local": "4:18 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 92.6,
          "obs_bias_f": 0.1,
          "balloon_nudge_f": -0.64
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 92.6,
        "ecmwf": 90.4,
        "gfs": 92.6,
        "icon": 95
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 92.6,
        "sigma_f": 2
      },
      "market_implied_f": 94.4,
      "gap_f": -1.8,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "94–95°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 1,
        "fair_c": 75,
        "edge_c": 74,
        "ev_pct": 7400,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 18.6
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 833255,
      "spread_c": null,
      "liquidity_grade": "—",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 2760,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL29",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be <96° on Jul 29, 2026?",
      "station": "KAUS",
      "station_city": "Austin",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-30T05:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighaus",
      "obs": {
        "temp_f": 91,
        "at": "2026-07-30T01:45:00.000Z",
        "trend_f_hr": -2,
        "source": "open-meteo"
      },
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 96.3,
        "sigma_f": 1.2,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:21:00.000Z",
        "peak_local": "4:45 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 96.8,
          "obs_bias_f": 0.05,
          "balloon_nudge_f": -0.64
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 96.8,
        "ecmwf": 95.6,
        "gfs": 96.8,
        "icon": 98.2
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 96.8,
        "sigma_f": 1.5
      },
      "market_implied_f": 98.6,
      "gap_f": -1.8,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "98–99°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 1,
        "fair_c": 72,
        "edge_c": 71,
        "ev_pct": 7100,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 17.8
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 290899,
      "spread_c": null,
      "liquidity_grade": "—",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 1860,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHDEN-26JUL29",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be >93° on Jul 29, 2026?",
      "station": "KDEN",
      "station_city": "Denver",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-30T06:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighden",
      "obs": {
        "temp_f": 71.1,
        "at": "2026-07-30T01:45:00.000Z",
        "trend_f_hr": 0.1,
        "source": "open-meteo"
      },
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 89.8,
        "sigma_f": 2.1,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:43:00.000Z",
        "peak_local": "1:42 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 90.5,
          "obs_bias_f": 0.14,
          "balloon_nudge_f": -0.88
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 91.1,
        "ecmwf": 86.4,
        "gfs": 91.1,
        "icon": 92.8
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 91.1,
        "sigma_f": 2.5
      },
      "market_implied_f": 90.4,
      "gap_f": 0.7,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "90–91°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 1,
        "fair_c": 70,
        "edge_c": 69,
        "ev_pct": 6900,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 17.4
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 179530,
      "spread_c": null,
      "liquidity_grade": "—",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 540,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHCHI-26JUL29",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the high temp in Chicago be >87° on Jul 29, 2026?",
      "station": "KMDW",
      "station_city": "Chicago",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-30T05:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi",
      "obs": {
        "temp_f": 70.2,
        "at": "2026-07-30T01:45:00.000Z",
        "trend_f_hr": -3,
        "source": "open-meteo"
      },
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 78.4,
        "sigma_f": 1,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:30:00.000Z",
        "peak_local": "3:15 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 79.2,
          "obs_bias_f": 0.1,
          "balloon_nudge_f": -0.86
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 79.1,
        "ecmwf": 78.8,
        "gfs": 79.1,
        "icon": 79.9
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 79.1,
        "sigma_f": 1.4
      },
      "market_implied_f": 80.7,
      "gap_f": -1.6,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "80–81°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 1,
        "fair_c": 66,
        "edge_c": 65,
        "ev_pct": 6500,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 16.3
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 334522,
      "spread_c": null,
      "liquidity_grade": "—",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 1320,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHNY-26JUL29",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be >83° on Jul 29, 2026?",
      "station": "KNYC",
      "station_city": "New York",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-29",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-30T04:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighny",
      "obs": {
        "temp_f": 72,
        "at": "2026-07-30T01:45:00.000Z",
        "trend_f_hr": -1.6,
        "source": "open-meteo"
      },
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 80,
        "sigma_f": 1.1,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:33:00.000Z",
        "peak_local": "5:37 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 80.6,
          "obs_bias_f": 0.1,
          "balloon_nudge_f": -0.64
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 80.1,
        "ecmwf": 80.4,
        "gfs": 80.1,
        "icon": 82.1
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 80.1,
        "sigma_f": 1.5
      },
      "market_implied_f": 80.4,
      "gap_f": -0.3,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "80–81°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 1,
        "fair_c": 52,
        "edge_c": 51,
        "ev_pct": 5100,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 12.9
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 835480,
      "spread_c": null,
      "liquidity_grade": "—",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 1140,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHNY-26JUL30",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be >84° on Jul 30, 2026?",
      "station": "KNYC",
      "station_city": "New York",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-31T04:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighny",
      "obs": null,
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 76.8,
        "sigma_f": 2.8,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:52:30.104Z",
        "peak_local": "1:57 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 76.8,
          "obs_bias_f": 0,
          "balloon_nudge_f": 0
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 75.8,
        "ecmwf": 78.2,
        "gfs": 75.8,
        "icon": 78.3
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 75.8,
        "sigma_f": 3.1
      },
      "market_implied_f": 78,
      "gap_f": -2.2,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "≤76°",
        "side": "yes",
        "price_c": 21,
        "fair_c": 59,
        "edge_c": 38,
        "ev_pct": 181,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 12
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 21592,
      "spread_c": 1,
      "liquidity_grade": "B+",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 1140,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL30",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in LA** be >83° on Jul 30, 2026?",
      "station": "KLAX",
      "station_city": "Los Angeles",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-31T07:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighlax",
      "obs": null,
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 80.6,
        "sigma_f": 3.5,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:52:30.111Z",
        "peak_local": "11:47 AM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 80.6,
          "obs_bias_f": 0,
          "balloon_nudge_f": 0
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 76.7,
        "ecmwf": 91,
        "gfs": 76.7,
        "icon": 81.7
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 76.7,
        "sigma_f": 3.9
      },
      "market_implied_f": 78.3,
      "gap_f": -1.6,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "78–79°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 45,
        "fair_c": 82,
        "edge_c": 37,
        "ev_pct": 82,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 16.7
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 26125,
      "spread_c": 4,
      "liquidity_grade": "C",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 600,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUL30",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be >97° on Jul 30, 2026?",
      "station": "KMIA",
      "station_city": "Miami",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-31T04:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighmia",
      "obs": null,
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 95.9,
        "sigma_f": 3.2,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:52:30.106Z",
        "peak_local": "3:00 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 95.9,
          "obs_bias_f": 0,
          "balloon_nudge_f": 0
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 96.7,
        "ecmwf": 92.7,
        "gfs": 96.7,
        "icon": 96.8
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 96.7,
        "sigma_f": 3.6
      },
      "market_implied_f": 95.1,
      "gap_f": 1.6,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "94–95°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 46,
        "fair_c": 82,
        "edge_c": 36,
        "ev_pct": 78,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 16.6
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 12857,
      "spread_c": 1,
      "liquidity_grade": "B+",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 2760,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHPHIL-26JUL30",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be >87° on Jul 30, 2026?",
      "station": "KPHL",
      "station_city": "Philadelphia",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-31T04:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighphil",
      "obs": null,
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 81.5,
        "sigma_f": 2.6,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:52:30.105Z",
        "peak_local": "5:23 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 81.5,
          "obs_bias_f": 0,
          "balloon_nudge_f": 0
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 81.1,
        "ecmwf": 82.7,
        "gfs": 81.1,
        "icon": 81.3
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 81.1,
        "sigma_f": 3
      },
      "market_implied_f": 83.5,
      "gap_f": -2.4,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "84–85°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 54,
        "fair_c": 86,
        "edge_c": 32,
        "ev_pct": 59,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 17.4
      },
      "volume_usd": 0,
      "open_interest_usd": 5679,
      "spread_c": 1,
      "liquidity_grade": "B+",
      "sonde_obs_age_s": 1200,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL30",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be <98° on Jul 30, 2026?",
      "station": "KAUS",
      "station_city": "Austin",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-31T05:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighaus",
      "obs": null,
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 98.9,
        "sigma_f": 2.3,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:52:30.109Z",
        "peak_local": "4:58 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 98.9,
          "obs_bias_f": 0,
          "balloon_nudge_f": 0
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
        "open_meteo": 98.9,
        "ecmwf": 99.2,
        "gfs": 98.9,
        "icon": 98.8
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 98.9,
        "sigma_f": 2.6
      },
      "market_implied_f": 99.8,
      "gap_f": -0.9,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "≤97°",
        "side": "yes",
        "price_c": 4,
        "fair_c": 30,
        "edge_c": 26,
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        "kelly_quarter_pct": 6.6
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      "sonde_obs_age_s": 1860,
      "simulated": {
        "balloon_network": true,
        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHCHI-26JUL30",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the high temp in Chicago be >92° on Jul 30, 2026?",
      "station": "KMDW",
      "station_city": "Chicago",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-31T05:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighchi",
      "obs": null,
      "forecast": {
        "high_f": 87.6,
        "sigma_f": 2.5,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:52:30.108Z",
        "peak_local": "3:18 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 87.6,
          "obs_bias_f": 0,
          "balloon_nudge_f": 0
        }
      },
      "consensus": {
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        "ecmwf": 87.9,
        "gfs": 87.9,
        "icon": 86.4
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
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        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 87.9,
        "sigma_f": 2.9
      },
      "market_implied_f": 86,
      "gap_f": 1.9,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "85–86°",
        "side": "no",
        "price_c": 56,
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        "kelly_quarter_pct": 14
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        "market_book": false
      }
    },
    {
      "ticker": "KXHIGHDEN-26JUL30",
      "venue": "kalshi",
      "title": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be >96° on Jul 30, 2026?",
      "station": "KDEN",
      "station_city": "Denver",
      "type": "daily_high",
      "resolution_date": "2026-07-30",
      "closes_at": "2026-07-31T06:59:00.000Z",
      "status": "open",
      "venue_url": "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighden",
      "obs": null,
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        "high_f": 92.5,
        "sigma_f": 3,
        "updated_at": "2026-07-30T01:52:30.110Z",
        "peak_local": "2:53 PM",
        "components": {
          "model_consensus_f": 92.5,
          "obs_bias_f": 0,
          "balloon_nudge_f": 0
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      },
      "consensus": {
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        "ecmwf": 89.9,
        "gfs": 93.4,
        "icon": 92.6
      },
      "selected_forecast": {
        "source": "open_meteo",
        "label": "Open-Meteo",
        "high_f": 93.4,
        "sigma_f": 3.4
      },
      "market_implied_f": 92.2,
      "gap_f": 1.2,
      "edge": {
        "bucket": "91–92°",
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        "price_c": 59,
        "fair_c": 80,
        "edge_c": 21,
        "ev_pct": 36,
        "kelly_quarter_pct": 12.9
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    }
  ]
}